Ups and downs.... Poker and odds

First off and Liverpool scored way too early on Wednesday.

I believe that 0-0 at home in the first leg is a good result.

It means you get the win or draw in the second leg and so I'm relatively happy with tight games when playing at home first.

Obviously scoring first and going ahead is great but it changes the game.

Guus Hiddink has done remarkably well at Chelsea and all credit to him because they played exceptionally well.

I've heard some of the Talksport presenters talking about Liverpool saying that they should leave Gerrard and Torres out next week.

Well that's a load of rubbish!

Firstly because it's only one game if they believe Liverpool are going out and secondly because it is incredibly rare for us to go behind by a distance and not come back.

You only need to think about 3-0 in Istanbul and against Man Utd a few years ago to see that.

The other ray of hope is that Liverpool will be able to play without fear.

After all losing a goal next Tuesday will not make much difference since we've got to score 3 regardless.

Even if we lose 2 goals, scoring 4 will take us through.

Benitez is a master tactician and I am certain that we will come back into the tie at the very least and then who knows.

What I do know is that 50-1 is very good odds for us to win the Champions League.

Speaking of odds, I mentioned on January 31st that the bookies had Liverpool's odds to win the Premier League very wrong at 10.5/1 and they are now as short as 5/2.

Man United are going through a bad spell at the moment and they have serious problems in defence until they can get the Vidic and Ferdinand partnership restored. If only we could change the rules to let the referee decide how many minutes of injury time should be awarded rather than Sir Alex it should give us an even better chance.

Now I'm not saying that we will win the league because, whilst I think Man United will drop enough points for us to win, I can't see us winning every game. United have a couple of tricky fixtures including Arsenal, Man City and Middlesborough - yes that's right, Middlesborough who will be fighting like wounded animals trying to stay in the Premier League.

Poker wise I had a great day yesterday winning $300 but dropped $200 of it today by not cashing in a single STT out of 12. That's how it goes though, rough with the smooth and all that.

Until next time...