Friday 3 July 2009

Call or fold against chip leader bullying the bubble?


Right, bubble of an 18 man $30 STT.

Prizes are
1st $270
2nd $162
3rd $108

Stack sizes and sharkscope stats (which I didn't have at the time) are:

Player - Chips - Played - Av Profit - Ave Stake - ROI - Profit - Ability /100
Me (BB) - 5860 - 608 - 4 - 36 - 16% - $2530 - 79
seat 2 (UTG) - 16470 - 57 - 3 - 10 - 59% - $189 - 71
seat 3 (button)- 860 - 451 - 0 - 13 - 1% - -$173 - 54
seat 4 (SB) - 3810 - 13 - -13 - 30 - -40% - -$171 - 58


Chip leader has been going all in every hand since we got to the bubble including reraising seat 4.

Blinds are 300/600 and I'm in the big blind with AcQc. Chip leader is all in for 16470.

Fold or call?

I actually folded in this spot

Next hand seat 3 is all in for 860 and the chip leader in the big blind folds for an extra 260 chips - he's obviously trying to prolong the bubble

Following hand chip leader is all in after it is folded to him

Blinds up to 400/800

Following hand chip leader is all in with K3o which is called by seat 3 for 560 on top of his small blind of 400 with KQ and he doubles up to 2720 leaving the situation as


Me (BB) 4960
seat 2 (UTG) 16610
seat 3 (button) 2720
seat 4 (SB) 2710

Chip leader goes in again UTG with his obvious any two looking to bully the bubble.

What do you need to call?

I called with Ks6h and got some criticism, was I wrong?

3 comments:

  1. Think I'd probably have folded the K6s here - Much preferring to get my chips first in rather than calling.
    Admittedly he's got a massive range that your probably ahead of - but in an STT i'd rather let the shortstacks make the tough decisions, at least until the bubble has burst.

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  2. Call everytime. You know he's doing it with any ace, good chance you have him dominated and if not you're a coinfip at worst, that's for sure and you PLAY TO WIN these 18 seaters not stick around for third.

    In short: You call there and you double up 3/4 times, and go out bubble boy 1/4 times. But, the 3 times you win, you probably go on to win the whole thing not just the hand.

    He played very well if he knew you would fold hands as big as that. I'd be all in against you with everything as chances of bigger than AQ are slim.

    Cheers

    Nic/poker pro

    Website: free football picks - golf picks

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