On the poker front things are still not going as well as they were in September and October.
For the first 500 of these tournaments I ket telling myself that it was all just a hit streak and that variance would eventually reduce my returns and I didn't get excited about anything. Obviously I was very very hopeful that I had found a niche where I seemed to be making a lot of money but I deliberately witheld my optimism.
After 500 tournaments I felt that variance should surely have evened itself out and I was up to $4000 at which poin I bought the television so that I had something to show for it and that would never be lost.
That was about the time when I moved to Bigslick in order to increase the loyalty payments I was getting compared to Paddypower. (A significant increase I might add)
Unfortunately that was also the time that I had a very bad session losing tournament after tournament with bad beat after bad beat. It was an incredibly horrible session where I lost a significant number of tournaments dipping my P&L significantly ($2000) but again, that was just variance.
However, despite winning all that money back over the following 2 weeks as you can see from my post on November 11th
Since then things have not gotten any better.
This is my double up bankroll from my spreadsheet.
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So now I'm uploading all my tournament files into Pokertracker with the aim of trying to find out if I am doing something differently.
I really can't understand the reason.
I'm pretty certain 500 tournaments is a statistically large enough sample for it not to be variance so something must have changed. - Either the way other players are playing against me, or more likely, the way I am playing against others.
That is one of the reasons I have applied to badbeat. Partly because my bankroll cannot stand the entry fees of the tournaments I want to play and partly because of the software and montor support that is available.
In terms of live poker, I would normally be playing Leos tonight because I can't play football but as it is a £100 rebuy my bankroll won't even stretch that far due to the lack of wins this year so I'll have to stay in or look at the birkenhead £10 rebuy!
I really am due for a cash soon!!!!!!!
On the job front, I had an interview for a very good job last week that would be (in effect) a promotion. If all goes well and I get it, there is a fair chance I'll still be able to take the redundancy I will inevitably get too, which would be a welcome boost.
Anyway, better go lie down again and rest the old back.
Nearly 40 and my body is starting to give up!!!
Michael
ReplyDeleteI too have hit a big dip in the double up front on one particular site. Again I seem not to have changed anything with my play, it just seems if I am 60/40 or 70/30 favourite I can't win the hand all in. This has a negative effect on playing style and I think it does change your game marginally enough to make a difference. I have hence lost confidence in the site, cleared my final bonus and am now playing elsewhere with results returning back to the 10% profit mark from the 5% I had been getting.
I am not saying there is anything going on with the site, I am saying that the mental result is affecting my play, so I chose to play elsewhere where I don't have any negative mental baggage ... YET!
Hope this helps.
Regards
Geoff
I totally agree that even small changes the way you play can make a difference. Thanks for the comment.
ReplyDelete